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The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. The Supreme Court Not So Much. Edit your transcribed text. They determine whether we live in a free or repres The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. 2,. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. 01:00 PM. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Accuracy is not guaranteed. . Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. . fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. No products in the cart. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. By May 21, 2021 0 . Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? 450 episodes. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. 01:06 PM. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. robert kraft granddaughter. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: 11:03 AM. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings.